For more than a century, the medical world has known that
certain kinds of cancers are far more prevalent than others. The question, of course, that comes to mind
is why is this so? There has been much
speculation concerning the answer to this important question.
Drs. Cristian Tomasetti and Bert Vogelstein form the
Division of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics at the Department of Oncology at
the Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center at John Hopkins University School of Medicine
and the Department of Biostatistics at the John Hopkins Bloomberg School of
Public Health in Baltimore MD conducted an exhaustive statistical analysis of
patient data. The following represents a
summary of their results.
The table below shows
the relative lifetime risk of a number of different types of cancers.
Cancer by Tissue Type
|
Percentage of Lifetime Risk of Cancer
|
Lung
|
6.9
|
Thyroid
|
1.08
|
Brain and Nervous System
|
.6
|
Pelvic Bone
|
.003
|
Laryngeal Cartilage
|
.00072
|
Although some of these differences can be associated with
certain risk factors such a smoking and alcohol use, ultraviolet light exposure
and human papilloma virus (HPV) infection, such etiology only applies to
specific populations. In addition, environmental
factors cannot explain the wide differences found in lifetime risks involving
cancers of the alimentary tract – esophagus .51%, large intestine 4 82%, small
intestine .20% and stomach .86%.
Interestingly, cancers of small intestine are three times
less common than brain cancers even though the epithelial cells of the small
intestine are far more exposed to environmentally dangerous substances than
brain cells that are protected by the so-called blood –brain barrier.
Another factor that is often cited to explain differences in
risk of various cancers is inherited genetic variation. The statistical data shows, however, that
this risk factor accounts for only between 5 and 10 percent of the etiology of
cancer.
Therefore, there must be another cause that accounts for the
wide variability shown in the table above.
The investigators went on to demonstrate that a very close correlation (81%)
exists between the lifetime risk for a given cancer and the, “total number of
divisions of the normal self-renewing cells (stem cells) maintaining the tissue’s
homeostasis.” From this perspective, it
is the probability of sustaining deleterious random genetic mutations that
transform a cell into a cancerous state that increases with the number of cell
divisions of tissue-specific stem cells.
This may prove to be a very important finding in regards to
understanding the etiology of cancer.
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